mardi 14 avril 2015

Global growth to remain 'moderate' in 2015, says IMF

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that global growth remains moderate, with "uneven prospects" across the main countries and regions.



Compared with 2014, it says the outlook for advanced countries is improving, but growth in emerging and developing economies is projected to be lower.



It says there will be weaker prospects in 2015 for some oil-exporting nations.



The IMF's World Economic Outlook said growth was likely to be 3.5% this year, in line with its January forecast.



Despite the sluggish outlook for 2015, it said growth in emerging markets is expected to pick up in 2016, which will drive an increase in global growth next year to 3.8%.

'Geopolitical tensions'



The outlook document is the IMF's bi-annual analysis and projections of economic developments. It also publishes further interim forecasts.



It foresees varying fortunes for Brazil, Russia, Ukraine - all contracting this year - and India, which will experience growth of 7.5% this year and next.



"The outlook for Brazil is affected by a drought, the tightening of macroeconomic policies, and weak private sector sentiment, related in part to the fallout from the Petrobras investigation," said the IMF, adding that the country's economy is projected to contract by 1% this year, more than two percentage points below the body's October 2014 forecast.



"The growth forecasts for Russia reflect the economic impact of sharply lower oil prices and increased geopolitical tensions," it added.




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Global growth to remain 'moderate' in 2015, says IMF

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